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中粮势赢交易：甲醇宽幅震荡 上下翻飞

来源：   日期：2024-07-07 18:05:25; 点击：712 
分享:

【市场综述】

【股指期货】

IF2212周一资金流出4.66亿，成交76464手，持仓减少547手，期价跌0.95%。早盘大幅低开，随后在40余点空间内来回盘整，尾盘略有走高，日线收一带缩量锤头线。日线跳空下破上升趋势线支撑，跳空缺口3810之下偏弱对待，操作以反弹承压试空为主。

【商品复盘】

螺纹2301—上破反弹 中期看多★★★★☆

跟随市场整体急挫，螺纹期价减仓探底后缓慢回升，日k线长下影中阴线收盘，形态上回踩3630一线止跌，整体维持中期反弹思路不变，若后市下破3630支撑多单建议及时离场。

2212—中期看多 回补缺口★★★☆☆

延续深度回调走势，继续向下回补64500-65000缺口区间，形态上呈现上行受阻后的回调状态，建议长多短空策略，操作上建议多单暂时离场，等待企稳后再考虑接回多单。

2301—宽幅震荡 上下翻飞★★★★☆

甲醇4小时线看，近期在2500-2620低位宽幅震荡，且振幅逐步收窄，2620压力非常明显且有效，周五夜盘承压，本周一承压回落，关注本轮探底2500后能否止跌反弹，维持震荡思路，区间操作，2500之下多单规避。

菜油2301—爬山跳崖 共振下跌★★★★☆

油脂板块从上周走势分化，演变为本周的共振下跌，上周五夜盘在原油的暴跌拖累下，菜油从高位回落，加速下破11470一带支撑，且周一低位收盘，目前多单规避，无止跌迹象，新仓观望，等待进一步形态演变。

【金属】

【黑色】

【化工】

【油脂】

【交易体系】

【风险揭示】

王翔宇期货投资咨询证号Z0012754

张 镇期货投资咨询证号Z0013240

李继宏期货投资咨询证号Z0001099 

史家梁期货投资咨询证号Z0017247

1．本策略观点系研究员依据掌握的资料做出，因条件所限实际结果可能有很大不同。请投资者务必独立进行交易决策。公司不对交易结果做任何保证。

2．市场具有不确定性，过往策略观点的吻合并不保证当前策略观点的正确。公司及其他研究员可能发表与本策略观点不同的意见。

3．在法律范围内，公司或关联机构可能会就涉及的品种进行交易，或可能为其他公司交易提供服务。

中粮期货

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